Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.164152 0.184256 0.205229 0.228686 0.254135 0.280857 0.310982
2025-01-26 0.137242 0.164506 0.194327 0.229184 0.268619 0.311664 0.362011
2025-02-02 0.121002 0.153504 0.190515 0.235386 0.287902 0.347013 0.418153
2025-02-09 0.105356 0.140996 0.183131 0.235938 0.299640 0.373291 0.464129
2025-02-16 0.094045 0.132202 0.178874 0.239125 0.313749 0.402039 0.513217
2025-02-23 0.086950 0.127737 0.179154 0.247259 0.333539 0.437626 0.570984
2025-03-02 0.076722 0.118080 0.171886 0.245063 0.339908 0.456571 0.608616
2025-03-09 0.068880 0.110780 0.166918 0.245142 0.348649 0.478194 0.649601
2025-03-16 0.061607 0.103513 0.161311 0.243762 0.355037 0.496606 0.686588
2025-03-23 0.057376 0.100177 0.160710 0.248817 0.369726 0.525675 0.737420
2025-03-30 0.052120 0.094796 0.156775 0.248890 0.377485 0.545679 0.776769
2025-04-06 0.047322 0.089647 0.152743 0.248444 0.384265 0.564287 0.814410
2025-04-13 0.042442 0.084079 0.147937 0.246923 0.389878 0.582012 0.852088
2025-04-20 0.038991 0.080503 0.145846 0.249137 0.400650 0.606803 0.899559
2025-04-27 0.037109 0.079385 0.147417 0.256743 0.419194 0.642485 0.962240
2025-05-04 0.033999 0.075817 0.144856 0.257911 0.428382 0.665386 1.007965
2025-05-11 0.031708 0.073477 0.144071 0.261659 0.441305 0.693612 1.061336
2025-05-18 0.030593 0.073194 0.146596 0.270570 0.461989 0.733027 1.130667
2025-05-25 0.027564 0.068962 0.142222 0.268331 0.465868 0.748655 1.167220
2025-06-01 0.025227 0.065823 0.139473 0.268483 0.473221 0.769234 1.210867
2025-06-08 0.022859 0.062353 0.135889 0.267041 0.477979 0.786037 1.249339
2025-06-15 0.021706 0.061294 0.136499 0.272482 0.493414 0.818515 1.310390
2025-06-22 0.019901 0.058630 0.134010 0.272573 0.500418 0.838698 1.354139